الأحد، 15 مايو 2011

The most important indicators of economic

In the name of God the MercifulThe most important indicators of economicThe following is a list of economic indicators used in the United States of America. Obviously, there are a greater number of these indicators, in addition to other economic entities (such as Germany, Britain, Japan, etc. ..). In general, not only the numerical value to an index that is important, but also the expectation and prediction of these data, and the effect of the relationship between expected and actual numbers in the market.

The vast majority of traders in all parts of the world follow these indicators huge. The "quality" of the published data may vary from time to time. The value of the index data are important if the presented new information, or to be useful to visualize the results that can not be under the actual reports or other data.
In addition, the index assesses significantly if we use it to better predict future trends.

Note that in the United States of America most of the indicators published in the designated days of the week, rather than a specific monthly date (for example - the second Wednesday of each month, etc.).Each indicator is marked sign: "M" - is important, "p" - normal, "s" - of little importance (according to the level of importance, as is most likely).MCCI - Consumer Confidence IndexConsumer Confidence Index

Commission conferences consumer confidence, last Tuesday of each month, at 10:00 am EST, covers current month's data.

Consumer Confidence Index is a field study involving more than 5000 American families and is considered one of the most accurate indicators of confidence. The idea behind consumer confidence is to ensure that when the economy and more jobs, increase wages and lower interest rates, this increases our confidence and our consumer. Questionnaire presents questions to the participants in the questionnaire: about their income, if the market as they see it, and opportunities to see an increase in their income. Confidence to consider carefully the Council of the Federal Reserve when determining interest rates.
It is a big market mover because the per capita consumption represent two-thirds of the U.S. economy.

CPI - Consumer Price Index; Core-CPICPI

Department of Labor and Statistics, published in about 20 of every month.
At 8:30 am EST, covers previous month data.

CPI is a measure commonly used to measure inflation and is considered an indicator of the effectiveness of government policy. CPI is a more economic indicators and is followed by a very large engine of the market. The high CPI indicates inflation.
Core CPI (consumer price index, excluding food and energy, and maintenance items that are prone to seasonal fluctuations) gives a more stringent measure of general prices.


MEmployment ReportEmployment Report

Ministry of Labour, first Friday of each month, 8:30 am EST, covers previous month data.

Data collection is done through a study among 375 000, a place of business and 60,000 households. Reviews report: the number of new work places have been created or abolished in the economic entity, the average hourly earnings and average length of the workweek. The report is considered as one of the most important economic literature, for two reasons: the fact that announces new and updated information due to the fact that with the non-farm payroll index, gives a good picture of the country's economy overall.
The report also shows separately the image in different sectors (industry, service, building, mining, public, etc.)


MEmployment Situation ReportReport of the employment situation

Employment Service Statistics, first Friday of each month, covers previous month data.

The report of the employment situation is a monthly report contains two main sections. The first is the unemployment situation and the new premises have been created, the report gives the unemployment rate and change in unemployment rate. Part II of the report shows that things such as average weekly working hours and the average income calculated in hours, this data is important in determining inflation. Bureau of Labour Studies examines more than 250 regions across the United States and covers almost every major industry. This indicator is certainly a more indicators monitoring financial markets, the report is most often move markets. Investors estimate the fact that the information in the report comes in the run-time, less than a week old.
The report provides one of the best perspectives for the health of the economy.

FOMC Meeting (Federal Open Market Committee) Rate announcementMeeting of the Federal Open Market: Interest rate announcement

Meeting of representatives of the World Federalists of Americans, held 8 times a year.
Decision on the initial interest rate is published during each meeting (around 14:15 EST).

Federal Reserve Board (Federal Reserve Board of the United States of America) is responsible for managing U.S. monetary policy, control the banks, providing services to non-governmental organizations and citizens, and maintaining the financial stability of the country. There are 12 district Federal Reserve Board in the United States of America (each region includes several states), represented in the Council Committee of the Federal Reserve by Regional Commissioners. The interest rate on currency represents a practical price money. The higher the interest rate on a currency, will tend to retain more people in that currency, to buy them that way to strengthen the value of the currency. This is a very important indicator affecting the rate of inflation is very large engine of the market.
There is great importance to the Declaration of FOMC, on the other hand - the substance of the discussions held at the meeting (published two weeks after that) are almost the same importance to the wholesale market.


MGDP - Gross Domestic ProductGDP

BEA - (Bureau of Economic Analysis), the last day of the Quarter (the quarter), 8:30 am EST, covers previous data Quarter.

Published U.S. Department of Commerce index of GDP in 3 stages: introduction, preliminary, final. GDP is the total inventory of market activity. Represents the financial value of all goods and services produced by a particular economic entity during a specified period. This includes consumption, government purchases, investments and balance of trade. GDP Index is a comprehensive standards for the country's economic health. Are usually measured on an annual basis, but are also published quarterly reports (quarterly). Liberation and the Ministry of Commerce report in advance on the last day of each Quarter (quarterly). Itqsah during the month followed by the preliminary report and final report, which shall be published one month after another. Numbers of function pointer to the latest GDP is relatively high importance in the market.
GDP refers to the rapid growth of economy of a particular country (or contraction).


MISM (Institute for Supply Management) Manufacturing IndexManufacturing index of the Institute of Production Management

Institute of Supply Management, the first working day of each month at 10:00 am EST, covers previous month data.

ISM manufacturing index report for work on the basis of data collected from monthly replies to questions asked for those responsible for procurement in more than 400 industrial companies. Reflects an average composite of 5 major economic areas (requests for new customers 30%, manufacturing 25%, operating 20%, 15% quantitative applications, inventoried (not sold) 10%).
No more than 50 data points show the expansion of economic activities and the data under 50 points shows contraction of economic activities.


MMCSI - Michigan Consumer Confidence IndexMichigan report on consumer views

University of Michigan, on the first day of each month, covers previous month data.

A study on consumer confidence by the University of Michigan. That this indicator is becoming more and more useful to investors.
Gives a picture both if consumers are to spend money or not.

NFP - Changes in non-farm payrollsNon-farm payroll index

Ministry of Labour, on the first Friday of each month, 8:30 am EST, covers previous month data.

Intends to represent the data changes in the total pay of American workers are forced to any business, except the following actions:- Government officials by public,- Menzleon special staff,- Employees of nonprofit organizations that provide assistance to individuals,- Agricultural workers.Total gross salaries of others related to agriculture resides approximately 80% of the workers who make the entire GDP of the United States and supports to assist government policy makers, scientists, economists determine the current economic situation and forecast levels of future economic events. It is a very big market mover, and that, mainly because of high deviations in the forecast.


MPMI - Purchasing Managers IndexPMI

Institute for Supply Management, the first working day of each month, 10:00 am EST, covers previous month data

PMI is a composite index based on five key indicators, which include: new business applications, inventory levels, production, supplier delivery and operating environment. The different weight of each indicator and the data adjusted according to seasonal factors. Foundation to study the purchasing managers of over 300 Purchasing Manager at national level, which represents 20 different industries. If the PMI index rose 50, this indicates that the industry grows, while if dropped under 50, this refers to a contraction of the industry. PMI report is a very important indicator of the financial markets as it is the best indicator of factory production. Popular index to discover the pressure of inflation in addition to the economic activity of the industry. The force of the impact of PMI is not as strong as the CPI in detecting inflation, but because the data are published one day after the end of the month, which makes it the appropriate time. If the PMI was the result of sudden change, this will be followed usually react quickly in the market.
One of the keys to the report in particular is the growth in new business applications that predict an active industry in the future months.


MRetail Sales Data; Retail Sales less AutomotivesRetail: Retail without cars

Bureau of Statistics, on the twelfth of each month, 8:30 am EST, covers previous month data

The retail sales are an essential driving force in the U.S. economy, this indicator tracks the merchandise sold through corporate retail. This indicator measures the total consumer spending on retails sales (not including service costs). Retail revenues constitute a large part (two thirds) of the U.S. economy. Census Bureau seeking the opinion of hundreds of different seed companies and businesses that offer certain types of retail trade. Of each month showing the change rate of published data to the data the previous month. Negative number indicates that sales decreased from the previous months sales. This indicator is a very big engine of the market because it uses Kaadad consumer activity and confidence as higher sales figures he would have to rise increasingly in economic activity.
Data published in a timely manner because it is published within two weeks from the end of last month.


Retail Sales Data; Retail Sales less AutomotivesRetail: Retail without cars

Bureau of Statistics, on the twelfth of each month, 8:30 am EST, covers previous month data

The retail sales are an essential driving force in the U.S. economy, this indicator tracks the merchandise sold through corporate retail. This indicator measures the total consumer spending on retails sales (not including service costs). Retail revenues constitute a large part (two thirds) of the U.S. economy. Census Bureau seeking the opinion of hundreds of different seed companies and businesses that offer certain types of retail trade. Of each month showing the change rate of published data to the data the previous month. Negative number indicates that sales decreased from the previous months sales. This indicator is a very big engine of the market because it uses Kaadad consumer activity and confidence as higher sales figures he would have to rise increasingly in economic activity.
Data published in a timely manner because it is published within two weeks from the end of last month.


MTankan SurveyAssess the Tankan

BoJ (Bank of Japan), four times a year in April, July, October and mid-December, 10:50 pm GMT.

Economic survey of Japanese business issued by the Central Bank of Japan, and therefore its use is to re-formulate the monetary policy of Japan. The study covers thousands of Japanese companies with a capital of a predetermined minimum, despite the fact that companies are influential enough may also include the assessment. Companies ask for directions and current conditions in the workplace and private industries in addition to their events expected for the next Quatre (quarter) and year-round.
The engine is a very large capital markets on the Japanese yen.


MTIC (Treasury International Capital)Data on transactions in long term securitiesCapital and the Ministry of International Finance - Data on transactions in long-term bonds

Ministry of Finance, on the twelfth working day of each month, 9:00 am EST, covers previous month data.

Tensile data provided information about the most important way the United States is financing its current account deficit continued in which: long-term bond sale or export of foreign debt. It is important to remember that there are other ways to finance the deficit: borrowing from foreign banks or attracting net FDI of liquidity. However, since the liquidity of the FDI is negative, the Bank's liquidity tend to be small, most of the funding needs of America comes from the sale of long-term bonds to foreigners. TIC data are a good measure of the number of States secure international investment community.
And considered as a big market mover.


MTrade BalanceBalance of Trade

Ministry of Commerce, the second week of each month, 8:30 am EST, covers previous month data.

The largest component of the balance of payments of the country. The trade balance measures the difference between the value of goods and services exported by a particular country and the value of goods and services imported.
Formed with the trade deficit if the country imported more than it exported, and the opposite scenario is a trade surplus. This indicator is a big market mover.


SBeige BookBeige Book

Federal Reserve Board, on Wednesdays before each meeting of the FOMC, is published 8 times a year, 2:15 pm EST.

Beige Book is a term normally used for the report of the Federal Reserve Board entitled: "Summary of comment on current economic conditions, region of the Federal Reserve." Published just before the FOMC meeting on interest rates and directly supports to inform Members on the changes in the economy since the last meeting. This report is published eight times a year. Beige Book is not a big market mover. It is a measure of the strength of the economy and not a commentary on the visions of the members of the Federal Reserve Board.
Sometimes it can move markets if the results were a big surprise from analyst expectations


ECI - Employment Cost IndexOperating cost index

Employment Service Statistics, the last Thursday of April, July, November and January, 8:30 am EST, covers data Quarter (quarter) Prev.

ECI index tracks the movements in labor costs that include wages, incentives, and rewards for staff at all levels in the companies covered. The Department of Employment and statistical study of more than 3000 companies from the private sector and more than 500 local authority, schools and other public sector organizations. This index is not the most watched, but a selection of indicators that have the sufficient capacity to move markets, especially during periods of inflation. The idea behind the ECI index is that the higher wage pressures increase inflationary pressures.
, Primarily because when you increase the cost of labor companies will increase prices for consumers or the so-called financial inflation.


SPCE - Personal Consumption ExpenditureIndicator of private consumption expenditure

BEA (Bureau of Economic Analysis), the last day of each month, 8:30 am EST, covers previous month data.

PCE Price Index tracks changes in prices of consumer goods and services. The report of the PCE possible to expect some sort of what they usually make a small impact on the markets.
The report of the Core PCE is the PCE index is without food and energy prices measures the inflationary trend more precisely.


PBudget Statement MonthlyMonthly budget statement

Monthly report issued by the U.S. government (Ministry of Finance), which shows the monthly surplus or deficit in the budget.

The level of deficit / surplus affects the level of bonds issued by the U.S. government, and therefore the price of these bonds. In addition, this report reflects the level of government taxation, which refers to the level of economic activity.
From this point of view, the report of April (the month of transfer tax annual) reports are more important than other months.


PComposite Index of Leading IndicatorsComposite index of indicators top

The Conference Board, about 20 each month, 10:00 am EST.

This indicator is used to predict the direction of the economy in the months that followed. Index consisting of 10 economic elements that tend to the changes of the above changes in the economy overall.
These elements include:1. Average weekly hours worked by manufacturing workers,2. Average initial applications for unemployment insurance,3. The amount of requests for new manufacturers of consumer goods and materials,4. Fast delivery for new merchandise to vendors from suppliers,5. The amount of new orders for capital goods not related to defense,6. The amount of building permits for new residential buildings,7. Stock index S & P 500,8. Money supply, inflation, the exact (2M),9. The difference between the interest rates short and long term,10. Consumer SentimentGiven the composite index of indicators important in the light of trade cycles and general economic conditions, could be the investors and business expectations about what will happen, and make better decisions. Has a medium importance, and to publish reports on individual elements already in the earlier.


PCurrent AccountCurrent Account

BEA - (Bureau of Economic Analysis), periodically, about six weeks after the end of Quarter (the quarter).

The difference between exports of the State College of goods, services and remittances, and total imports of them. Exclude the accounts of the balance of current account transactions and the existing financial debt.
The level of current account continues as an indicator of trends in foreign trade, so his art is a big market mover.


PDurable GoodsRequests for durable goods report

Census Bureau, the fourth week of each month, 8:30 am EST, covers previous month data.

Durable Goods Orders measures new orders submitted to the domestic manufacturers for immediate and future delivery of goods factory durables. Durable goods, defined as commodities continue to use extended period of time (more than three years), where also extend special services for this product.
High demands for durable goods is usually associated with stronger economic activity and therefore lead to higher short-term interest rates, which are usually supportive of the currency at least in the short term.


PGDP Price DeflatorA reduced total price of domestic production

BEA - (Bureau of Economic Analysis), the last day of the Quarter (the quarter), 8:30 am EST, covers previous data Quarter.

Shows a reduced price of total domestic production amount of change in the rate of total domestic production on an annual basis based on changes in the price level. Also known as the "price reduced total domestic production full" because it does not depend mainly on the fixed basket of goods and services, at a reduced price, the total domestic production advantage over the consumer price index (CPI). Changes in consumption patterns or the introduction of new goods and services reflect automatically in the reducer.
This data contains moderate importance to the markets.
PHousing StartsNew projects

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